Proposed study design · no new cardiac MRI AI model required

Breast MRI phenotype → cancer treatment exposure → ECG change → cardiovascular outcome

A strong study can proceed with the existing breast MRI as a one-time baseline phenotype, same-patient ECGs as the cardiac electrical phenotype, cancer therapies as exposures, and echocardiographic or clinical cardiovascular outcomes as endpoints.

Proposal notice: Everything on this page is being proposed by the HIER Institute for consideration by the Robins Lab and collaborating partners. Aims, endpoints, and designs are draft proposals — not yet finalized — and remain subject to review.
Framing

Core approach

The analytic frame is a single causal chain: breast MRI phenotype → cancer treatment exposure → ECG change → cardiovascular outcome. What is feasible depends entirely on which MRI materials remain accessible.

Reserve LVEF, ventricular volumes, myocardial strain, T1/T2 mapping, extracellular volume, edema, fibrosis, and scar for examinations containing dedicated gated cardiac sequences. Published breast plus cardiac MRI protocols added pulse gated cine and myocardial mapping sequences specifically to acquire those measurements; ordinary breast MRI sequences alone were not used for those cardiac endpoints.

Feasibility tiers

Available MRI material and the feasible study approach

Original breast MRI DICOM images remain available, with no opportunity for repeat MRI
Perform prespecified manual or semiautomated measurements on the existing images, followed by conventional statistical analysis.
Radiology reports and structured MRI variables remain available
Use tumor laterality, location, size, multifocality, nodal status, chest wall involvement, enhancement pattern, and treatment response as baseline variables.
Previously extracted segmentations or radiomic variables remain available
Analyze those existing features after confirming definitions, quality control, and reproducibility.
Only the fact that an MRI occurred remains available
Use the MRI date as the clinical index point and center the project on ECG, treatment, echocardiography, biomarkers, and cardiovascular outcomes.
Existing images and reports

What can be studied from the existing breast MRI without new AI

1. Breast cancer location, radiation geometry, and subsequent electrical cardiac changes

From the breast MRI or its report, collect:

  • Left- versus right-sided cancer
  • Inner, central, or outer breast location
  • Distance from the tumor or surgical bed to the chest wall
  • Pectoralis or chest wall involvement
  • Internal mammary nodal involvement
  • Tumor size, multifocality, and distribution
  • Type and extent of surgery
  • Need for regional nodal irradiation

Then connect these variables with the radiation plan:

  • Mean heart dose
  • Left ventricular dose
  • Right ventricular dose
  • Left anterior descending coronary artery dose
  • Left atrial and right atrial dose
  • Dose to cardiac base, septum, and conduction system regions when segmentation is feasible
  • Internal mammary chain treatment
  • Deep inspiration breath hold use
  • Fractionation and total dose

Study question. Do breast tumor location and treatment geometry identify patients who experience measurable ECG changes following breast radiotherapy? A prospective breast radiotherapy study found that anterior lead ECG changes, particularly T wave changes, occurred after treatment and were associated with mean heart radiation dose and echocardiographic strain changes, supporting serial ECG as a plausible low cost marker for radiation associated cardiac effects.

2. MRI-derived body composition and cardiovascular vulnerability

When the original images remain available, measurements can be performed manually on standardized slices:

  • Pectoralis major and minor muscle area
  • Muscle signal intensity or quality, with careful sequence standardization
  • Subcutaneous chest wall adipose thickness
  • Breast adipose and fibroglandular composition
  • Sarcopenic or low muscle phenotype
  • Obesity phenotype when linked to BMI
  • Change in body composition when more than one clinical breast MRI already exists

Scientific question. Do baseline body composition characteristics modify the relationship between anthracycline, HER2 directed therapy, radiation exposure, and subsequent ECG or cardiac outcomes? This is especially valuable where the breast MRI patients overlap with the BMI cohort.

3. Incidental thoracic and gross cardiac findings

A blinded radiologist or cardiologist could review the breast MRI for prespecified findings:

  • Pericardial effusion
  • Pleural effusion
  • Gross cardiac enlargement when adequately visualized
  • Gross atrial or ventricular asymmetry
  • Ascending aortic or pulmonary artery enlargement when included
  • Intracardiac, pericardial, or mediastinal masses
  • Chest wall and pericardial relationships

Breast MRI can contain clinically relevant extramammary cardiovascular findings, although field of view and motion influence ascertainment. The design would use two independent readers, a structured reading form, blinded adjudication, and interreader reliability, and would remain an opportunistic thoracic imaging study rather than a ventricular function study.

4. MRI-defined cancer phenotype and treatment-associated cardiac risk

Even with reports alone, the MRI establishes the cancer phenotype that determines treatment:

  • HER2 positive disease and exposure to HER2 directed therapy
  • Tumor burden and anthracycline use
  • Neoadjuvant treatment and MRI response
  • Residual disease and escalation of therapy
  • Left-sided disease and radiation exposure
  • Regional nodal disease and broader radiation fields

The meaningful analysis focuses on the treatment pathway connecting cancer phenotype to cardiovascular effects, rather than attributing the cardiovascular effect directly to the tumor image.

Electrical phenotype

What becomes possible with same-patient ECGs

1. Baseline ECG predictors of cancer therapy–related cardiac dysfunction

Collect the ECG closest to treatment initiation, preferably before anthracycline, HER2 directed therapy, or chest radiation. A baseline ECG is already part of recommended cardiovascular risk assessment before potentially cardiotoxic therapy.

  • Heart rate and rhythm
  • PR interval
  • QRS duration
  • QT and Fridericia-corrected QT
  • P wave duration and axis
  • QRS and T wave axes
  • Spatial QRS-T angle when digital signals permit it
  • Low voltage
  • Left ventricular hypertrophy criteria
  • Bundle branch or fascicular block
  • Atrioventricular conduction abnormalities
  • Fragmented QRS
  • ST segment and T wave abnormalities
  • Premature atrial or ventricular complexes
  • Atrial fibrillation or flutter

Principal question. Which baseline ECG features identify patients who subsequently develop echocardiographic cardiac dysfunction, heart failure, arrhythmia, treatment interruption, or cardiovascular hospitalization?

2. Longitudinal ECG changes during and after treatment

Likely the most valuable first study. Obtain every ECG available before, during, and after therapy, then align each ECG with treatment dates and study changes in:

  • QTc
  • PR and QRS duration
  • T wave amplitude, direction, and axis
  • ST-T abnormalities
  • Fragmented QRS
  • New conduction disease
  • New atrial fibrillation
  • New ectopy
  • Resting heart rate
  • Low voltage development
  • QRS-T angle

Treatment-specific trajectories can be examined after:

  • Anthracycline exposure
  • Trastuzumab or other HER2 directed therapy
  • Left- versus right-sided radiation
  • Combined anthracycline and HER2 therapy
  • CDK4/6 inhibitors or other QT-active agents
  • Endocrine therapy
  • Immune checkpoint therapy, when present
3. ECG change as an early signal before echocardiographic decline

When serial echocardiograms are available, compare the timing of:

  1. ECG change
  2. GLS decline
  3. LVEF decline
  4. Clinical heart failure or treatment modification

Question. Do conventional ECG changes emerge before measurable echocardiographic cancer therapy–related cardiac dysfunction? The ECG serves as a predictor or intermediate phenotype; echocardiography, cardiac biomarkers, or adjudicated clinical events define the cardiac outcome.

4. Radiation dose–ECG response

Compare exposure measures:

  • Left- versus right-sided disease
  • Mean heart dose
  • Ventricular and atrial doses
  • LAD dose
  • Dose to the interventricular septum
  • Dose to the cardiac base and conduction system regions
  • Internal mammary nodal treatment
  • Deep inspiration breath hold use

against electrical response measures:

  • Anterior lead T wave changes
  • ST segment changes
  • QTc changes
  • QRS duration
  • Fragmented QRS
  • New conduction abnormalities
  • Atrial arrhythmias

A dose-response design is stronger than a simple left-versus-right comparison, because patients with the same laterality can receive substantially different cardiac doses.

5. Breast MRI location, radiation dose, and ECG as one causal pathway

Possibly the most distinctive multimodal project: does medial or chest wall adjacent breast cancer lead to greater cardiac radiation exposure, followed by greater longitudinal ECG change? The pathway is analyzed in stages — MRI-defined tumor location → treatment field and cardiac dose → serial ECG phenotype — with radiation plan measurements verifying the relationship between prone breast MRI anatomy and actual treatment geometry.

6. MRI-derived body composition and ECG phenotype

Whether pectoralis muscle area, subcutaneous adiposity, BMI, and sarcopenic obesity are associated with:

  • Baseline QTc or QRS-T angle
  • Atrial electrical abnormalities
  • Low voltage
  • Treatment-related ECG change
  • Later atrial fibrillation
  • Cancer therapy–related cardiac dysfunction
  • Cardiovascular hospitalization

This connects the breast MRI dataset with the separate high-BMI cohort.

7. Cardiac autonomic dysfunction

With Holter monitoring, telemetry, ambulatory ECG, or sufficiently long digital rhythm recordings, the study can evaluate:

  • Heart rate variability
  • Deceleration capacity
  • Mean heart rate
  • Circadian heart rate patterns
  • Ectopic burden
  • Nonsustained atrial or ventricular arrhythmias

A prospective study in HER2 positive breast cancer found that reduced heart rate deceleration capacity was associated with subsequent trastuzumab-related cardiotoxicity. A routine ten second ECG supports standard intervals and morphology; longer recordings provide the appropriate foundation for heart rate variability and deceleration capacity analyses.

Recommended starting point

The strongest first study

Proposed title

Longitudinal Electrocardiographic Phenotyping of Cardiovascular Toxicity in Patients With Breast Cancer Undergoing Systemic Therapy and Radiation

Study population
  • A baseline breast MRI or structured breast MRI report
  • An ECG before treatment
  • At least one ECG during or after treatment
  • Complete systemic therapy information
  • Radiation treatment information when applicable
  • Follow-up echocardiography, biomarkers, or cardiovascular outcomes
Primary outcome

When serial echocardiography is available: cancer therapy–related cardiac dysfunction defined using prespecified LVEF and GLS criteria.

When echocardiography is sparse: a clinically adjudicated cardiovascular outcome, such as heart failure, cardiovascular hospitalization, new atrial fibrillation, clinically significant arrhythmia, or cardiovascular treatment initiation.

Primary predictors
  • Baseline ECG phenotype
  • Change in QTc, QRS, and ST-T morphology
  • Anthracycline cumulative dose
  • HER2 directed therapy
  • Radiation laterality and cardiac dose
  • MRI-defined tumor location
  • BMI and MRI-derived body composition
Analysis
  • Paired pretreatment and posttreatment ECG comparisons
  • Linear mixed-effects models for repeated ECG measurements
  • Time-to-event models for cardiac outcomes
  • Treatment-specific subgroup analyses
  • Interaction analyses for obesity, body composition, and baseline cardiovascular risk
  • Internal validation through bootstrapping
  • Blinded cardiologist ECG adjudication on a representative subset

No deep learning model is required.

Data readiness

The ECG format determines the depth of analysis

Raw digital XML or waveform data
Full interval, amplitude, axis, morphology, beat-level, vector, and advanced signal analyses
Structured machine measurements
Strong conventional interval and diagnostic analysis with cardiologist validation
ECG PDF images
Manual blinded interpretation and abstraction of visible machine measurements
Narrative ECG reports only
Rhythm, conduction, ischemic pattern, and categorical abnormality analysis
Holter or ambulatory ECG
Heart rate variability, deceleration capacity, ectopic burden, and intermittent arrhythmias
Before selecting the final hypothesis

Immediate feasibility inventory

  1. 1.Number of breast MRI patients.
  2. 2.Number with original DICOM images versus reports only.
  3. 3.Number with a pretreatment ECG.
  4. 4.Number with at least two ECGs.
  5. 5.Availability of raw ECG waveforms.
  6. 6.Number exposed to anthracyclines, HER2 therapy, radiation, and combined therapy.
  7. 7.Number with radiation dose files.
  8. 8.Number with baseline and follow-up echocardiograms.
  9. 9.Number with troponin or natriuretic peptide measurements.
  10. 10.Counts of cardiac dysfunction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, ischemic events, and cardiovascular hospitalizations.
  11. 11.Patient-level overlap with the BMI cohort.
  12. 12.Timing of each imaging, ECG, treatment, and outcome event.
Team

Roles and the next step

Dr. Robins is well positioned to lead the image inventory, technical quality assessment, reproducibility testing, DICOM workflow, and standardized quantitative measurements, given medical physics certification, appointments in radiology, medicine, and engineering, leadership of an imaging research consortium, and substantial quantitative imaging experience with particular depth in CT methodology and imaging reproducibility.

The most practical and publishable starting point is therefore serial conventional ECG phenotyping linked to treatment exposure and echocardiographic outcomes, followed by the more distinctive breast MRI tumor location → radiation dose → ECG pathway study.